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An asset with no lock and no locksmith · 10-min read

The lost bitcoin problem

Somewhere between 1.5 and 3.7 million bitcoin appear to be permanently inaccessible. There is no bank to call, no court order that helps, and one man in Wales spent a decade and a High Court judgment trying to dig his out of a landfill.

The Newport Transporter Bridge over the River Usk in Newport, South Wales.
Newport, South Wales, photographed in August 2013 — the month the hard drive went to the city's landfill.
Lewis Hulbert · Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Unported (CC BY-SA 3.0) · source
Published estimates of lost BTC
≈ 1.5M – 3.7M
Share of everything mined
Roughly 7% – 18%
James Howells
8,000 BTC · hard drive · Aug 2013
Howells v Newport City Council
[2025] EWHC 22 (Ch) · claim dismissed
What a fiduciary can do about a lost key
Nothing

Every other asset in this archive can be found. A bank has a record. A registrar has a shareholder. A county clerk has a deed. Even the assets people hid — Meyer Lansky's, Howard Hughes's — were hidden somewhere, and somebody could in principle be compelled to say where.

Bitcoin held in self-custody is the first widely owned asset in history with no custodian at all. There is no institution holding it on your behalf, which is the entire design. It also means there is nobody to serve with a court order, nobody to present a death certificate to, and nobody who could hand it over even if they wanted to.

The scale of what that has already cost is genuinely large, and genuinely uncertain.

How much is gone
River Financial, in a 2024 study, conservatively put permanently lost bitcoin at about 1.57 million BTC, with roughly 98% of the losses occurring before 2020. Chainalysis has estimated around 3.7 million BTC untouched for five years or more. Glassnode has put “lost forever” at about 3 million. Against roughly 20 million coins mined out of a 21 million cap, that is somewhere between 7% and 18% of everything that exists. The spread is a methodology problem — dormant is not the same as lost, and nobody can prove which is which — but every serious estimate is in the millions.
— Newport

A hard drive, a landfill, and ten years of trying

The best-documented single loss is also the one that ended up in a courtroom, which is why it is here rather than in a technology magazine.

James Howells mined 8,000 bitcoin in 2009, when mining was something a person did on a laptop. The private keys sat on a 2.5-inch hard drive. In August 2013, the drive was discarded and went to the Newport City Council landfill in South Wales. By January 10, 2025, on the court's own figure, those 8,000 coins were worth £617,196,902.

The council refused permission to excavate — citing its environmental permit and the practical problem that the drive is somewhere in roughly a decade of compacted waste. Howells issued proceedings in May 2024, seeking a declaration of ownership, delivery of the drive or permission to dig, and damages in the alternative.

On January 9, 2025, His Honour Judge Keyser KC, sitting as a Deputy High Court judge in the Business and Property Courts in Wales, entered summary judgment for the council. Howells v Newport City Council [2025] EWHC 22 (Ch).

Two grounds, and both of them generalise well beyond bitcoin.

  • The statute had already transferred ownership. Section 14(6)(c) of the Control of Pollution Act 1974 provides that anything delivered to a disposal authority in the course of using its facilities belongs to the authority. The judge described that as a complete answer to the claim. The drive stopped being Howells' property the moment it went into the landfill — and the court accepted that the bitcoin was still his, because the coins are intangible property on a public ledger and are legally distinct from the object holding the keys. He still owns the bitcoin. He just cannot reach it, and the thing he needs in order to reach it belongs to somebody else.
  • And he was out of time anyway. The judge found Howells knew the facts supporting his claim by November 2013 and did not sue until May 2024. Under the Limitation Act 1980 a six-year period applied, and the argument that the clock restarted in September 2023 when the council first asserted ownership was rejected.

In March 2025 the Court of Appeal refused permission to appeal, Nugee LJ finding no real prospect of success. As of August 2026 the drive has not been recovered.

The limitation point is the one estate lawyers should sit with. The claim was not lost because bitcoin is strange. It was lost because eleven years went by. Every remedy in this area has a clock on it, and the clock starts when the loss happens rather than when somebody finally decides to do something about it.

A tracked landfill compactor working across a layer of municipal waste.
A landfill compactor at work. The court accepted that the coins were still his; the drive was not.
Ropable · Public domain — released into the public domain worldwide by the copyright holder · source
— The fiduciary

What a personal representative can actually do

Assume a Florida decedent held bitcoin in self-custody and the family has letters of administration and a suspicion. Here is the honest division between what works and what does not.

  • Seize the hardware. This works. Under Fla. Stat. §733.607 the personal representative has the right to take possession or control of the decedent's property and to take reasonable steps to preserve it. §740.05(5) then confirms that a fiduciary with authority over tangible personal property may access that property and any digital asset stored in it, and is an authorised user for purposes of Florida's computer-crimes chapter, chapter 815. The laptop, the phone, the safe deposit box, the drawer with the metal seed-phrase plate — all of it is estate property, and opening it is not an offence.
  • Serve the exchanges. This works. An exchange or custodial wallet provider is a custodian under §740.002(7), and the balance is a digital asset under §740.002(9). The §740.007 procedure applies: written request, certified death certificate, certified letters. Most of the crypto that families actually recover is recovered this way.
  • Get the catalogue and read it. This works, and it is underused. §740.007 entitles the personal representative to the catalogue of electronic communications — under §740.002(4), who the decedent corresponded with, when, and at what address. Exchange confirmation emails, wallet-recovery notices, and hardware-wallet vendor receipts all show up there. The catalogue is how you find out an exchange account existed at all.
  • Compel a private key. This does not work, and no statute changes that. §740.004(2) provides that Chapter 740 gives a fiduciary no new or expanded rights other than those held by the user. The decedent could not recover the key. Neither can the estate. There is no defendant, because a self-custodied wallet has no custodian to sue.
  • Hire a recovery service. Sometimes, narrowly. Where a passphrase is partly remembered or a wallet file survives with a forgotten password, brute-force recovery firms occasionally succeed. Where the seed phrase is genuinely gone, the mathematics is the answer and it is not a friendly one.

And the uncomfortable tax note. An asset the estate cannot access is still an asset. Federal estate tax attaches to the fair market value of everything the decedent owned at death, and ownership of bitcoin is a matter of the ledger rather than of access. A Florida personal representative filing the verified inventory under §733.604(1) must list estate property in reasonable detail with its estimated fair market value at the date of death — which means writing down a number for a coin nobody can spend. That is a problem for a tax adviser, and it is a real one.

— The fix

This is the one asset where the plan has to be physical

Almost everything else in estate planning is solved with a document. Self-custodied cryptocurrency is solved with an object in a location, and the drafting is secondary.

The distinctive problem is that the two failure modes point in opposite directions. Write the seed phrase down somewhere findable and you have created a bearer instrument that anybody who finds it can spend. Hide it well and you have created the Newport problem in miniature. There is no arrangement that is both perfectly secret and perfectly recoverable, and anybody selling you one is selling you something else.

What competent practice looks like, in rough order of usefulness:

  • Split the secret. Multisignature wallets and Shamir-style seed splitting let two or three holders be required to move funds — so no single person can steal it and no single loss destroys it.
  • Write down where, not what. The will and the trust should say a wallet exists and where the access material is kept. They should never contain the seed phrase itself: a will is deposited with the clerk under §732.901 and a probate file is a public record, even where the inventory under §733.604(1) is not.
  • Name a fiduciary who can actually do it. A trustee who does not know what a seed phrase is will not recover one. This is one of the few asset classes where technical competence is a genuine qualification for the job.
  • Leave written instructions the fiduciary can follow. Which wallet software, which derivation path, which hardware device, where the backup is. Not a lecture — a checklist.
  • Consider a custodian on purpose. Holding some or all of it at a regulated exchange converts an unsolvable problem into a §740.007 paperwork problem. That is a genuine trade-off with genuine counterparty risk, and it should be made deliberately rather than by default.
— How it unfolded

Timeline

  1. 2009
    James Howells mines 8,000 bitcoin. The private keys are stored on a 2.5-inch laptop hard drive.
  2. Aug 2013
    The hard drive is discarded and goes to the Newport City Council landfill in South Wales.
  3. Nov 2013
    The court later finds this is when Howells knew the facts supporting his claim — the date the limitation clock started.
  4. 2017–2020
    Chainalysis and others publish the first serious estimates of permanently lost bitcoin, in the range of roughly 3 to 3.8 million coins.
  5. May 2024
    Howells issues proceedings against Newport City Council seeking ownership, delivery or excavation permission, and damages in the alternative.
  6. 2024
    River Financial publishes a conservative estimate of about 1.57 million BTC permanently lost, roughly 98% of it before 2020.
  7. Jan 9, 2025
    HHJ Keyser KC enters summary judgment for the council. Howells v Newport City Council [2025] EWHC 22 (Ch): s.14(6)(c) of the Control of Pollution Act 1974 vested ownership in the authority, and the claim was time-barred.
  8. Jan 10, 2025
    The 8,000 coins are valued in the judgment at £617,196,902.
  9. Mar 2025
    The Court of Appeal refuses permission to appeal, finding no real prospect of success.
  10. Aug 2026
    The drive has not been recovered. The coins remain visible on the public ledger and unspendable.
— The teachable part

What actually went wrong

  • The keys and the backup were in one place. A single 2.5-inch drive held the only copy of something that became worth more than half a billion pounds. No redundancy, no split, no second location.
  • Eleven years passed before anyone sued. The limitation point disposed of the claim independently of everything else. Whatever the remedy is, it expires.
  • Ownership of the coins and access to the coins came apart. The court accepted Howells still owned the bitcoin. It also held the drive belonged to the council. Owning an asset you cannot reach is the defining condition of this entire category.
  • No statute fills the gap. Florida's §740.004(2) says a fiduciary gets no greater right than the user had, and RUFADAA's whole architecture assumes a custodian exists. Self-custody is outside the design.
  • The estate still has to value it. §733.604(1) requires the inventory to state fair market value at death. An inaccessible coin is not a zero on that form just because nobody can spend it.
— The Florida answer

Would it have gone that way in Florida?

No remedy — and Florida says so plainly. §740.004(2): the fiduciary gets no greater right than the user had, and the user had none.

Florida's Fiduciary Access to Digital Assets Act, Chapter 740, is a good statute that is structurally incapable of solving this problem, and it is worth understanding exactly why.

The whole chapter is aimed at custodians. §740.002(7) defines a custodian as a person that carries, maintains, processes, receives, or stores a digital asset of a user. §740.006 and §740.007 set out what a personal representative sends to a custodian and what the custodian must return. §740.06 gives the custodian 60 days and lets a Florida circuit court compel compliance. Every operative provision presupposes somebody on the other end.

A self-custodied wallet has nobody on the other end. There is no person storing the asset, so there is no one to serve, no one to compel, and no one who could comply. And §740.004(2) closes the door explicitly: the chapter does not give a fiduciary or designated recipient any new or expanded rights other than those held by the user. If the decedent could not open the wallet, neither can the estate, and no order from any court changes the mathematics.

What Florida law does give the fiduciary is the hardware and the paper trail, and that is not nothing. §733.607 gives the personal representative the right to take possession or control of the decedent's property and to preserve it. §740.05(5) confirms that a fiduciary with authority over tangible personal property may access that property and any digital asset stored in it, and is an authorised user for purposes of chapter 815 — Florida's computer-crimes chapter. That clause is what keeps a personal representative who unlocks the decedent's laptop from committing an offence under §815.06. Then §740.007 produces the catalogue, which is frequently where the evidence of an exchange account lives.

And exchange-held crypto is an entirely different case. Coinbase, Kraken, Gemini and their competitors are custodians. They have compliance departments and published estate procedures. The §740.007 request — written request, certified death certificate, certified letters of administration — works, and it works within the 60-day period in §740.06. Practitioners who treat “crypto” as one undifferentiated problem miss that the custodial half is ordinary probate administration with an unusual asset description.

The Newport limitation point transfers directly. Florida has its own clocks, and they are shorter than people expect: §733.702 requires claims against an estate to be filed by the later of three months after first publication of the notice to creditors or thirty days after personal service, and §733.710 imposes an absolute two-year bar from the date of death. Where a recovery claim lies against a third party — an exchange, an adviser, a custodian who lost something — waiting to see whether the asset turns up is how the claim dies.

The instruction here is unusually concrete, because this is one of the few assets where documents alone accomplish nothing. Write down that the wallet exists and where the access material is kept, in the will and the trust — and never write the seed phrase into either, because the will goes to the clerk under §732.901 and the probate file is public. Split the secret across two or three holders or locations, using multisignature or seed splitting. Name a fiduciary who understands what a seed phrase is. Leave a one-page recovery checklist with the access material. And decide deliberately how much of it you want at a regulated custodian, because that portion is the part your family will actually be able to reach.

— The statutes doing the work
The sentence that ends the conversation: no new or expanded rights beyond those the user held.
Definitions — “custodian” (7), “digital asset” (9), “catalog of electronic communications” (4). A wallet with no custodian is outside the machinery.
The procedure that works against an exchange: written request, certified death certificate, certified letters.
Access to tangible property and any digital asset stored in it, as an authorised user for purposes of chapter 815.
Personal representative's right to take possession and control of estate property and preserve it — the authority to seize the drive.
The verified inventory must state estate property in reasonable detail with its estimated fair market value at the date of death.
Absolute two-year bar. Recovery claims against third parties do not wait for the asset to reappear.
Control of Pollution Act 1974, s.14(6)(c) (England & Wales)
Anything delivered to a disposal authority in the course of using its facilities belongs to the authority. The complete answer in Howells.
— Common questions

What people ask us about this.

Not where there is nobody holding it. Chapter 740 is directed at custodians — §740.002(7) — and a self-custodied wallet has none. §740.004(2) confirms a fiduciary receives no greater right than the user had. Where the coins sit at an exchange, however, the exchange is a custodian and the §740.007 procedure works normally.
In the public record
The active face of a British municipal landfill site seen from a footpath.
2007
The active face of a British landfill. Section 14(6)(c) of the Control of Pollution Act 1974 vests everything deposited in the authority.
Andy Gryce / Geograph Britain and Ireland · Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 2.0 Generic (CC BY-SA 2.0)
— Show your work

Sources

  1. Howells v Newport City Council [2025] EWHC 22 (Ch)High Court of Justice, Business and Property Courts in Wales, Jan 2025
  2. High Court dismisses claim against council over hard drive containing bitcoin wallet keys dumped at landfillLocal Government Lawyer, Jan 2025
  3. Waste not, want not: High Court rejects £600 million crypto landfill recovery claimHausfeld, 2025
  4. Man who lost bitcoin in a landfill wants to buy the garbage dumpCNN, Feb 2025
  5. What happens to lost bitcoinRiver Financial, 2024
  6. Lost bitcoin: 3.7 million bitcoin are probably gone foreverDecrypt, citing Chainalysis and Glassnode
  7. Fla. Stat. §740.002 — DefinitionsThe Florida Senate
  8. Fla. Stat. §740.05 — Fiduciary duty and authorityThe Florida Senate
  9. Fla. Stat. §733.604 — Inventories and accountingsThe Florida Senate
These are not our cases. Everything on this page is drawn from published court records and news reporting, cited below. It is general information about how probate and trust law works — not legal advice, and not a prediction about any case. Reading it does not create an attorney-client relationship. Other states' law differs from Florida's, which is usually the whole point of the story.
— Your estate is not a headline

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Nearly every case in this archive turned on something ordinary — an unwitnessed page, a stale beneficiary line, a document nobody could find. Those are cheap to fix while you're alive and expensive to fix afterward.